Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.016549 0.020747 0.026282 0.034363 0.046317 0.064191 0.094832
2025-01-05 0.011247 0.015430 0.021749 0.032698 0.052987 0.093924 0.202841
2025-01-12 0.008838 0.012797 0.019309 0.031963 0.059654 0.131672 0.437643
2025-01-19 0.007725 0.011721 0.018806 0.034141 0.073910 0.213049 1.446419
2025-01-26 0.007088 0.011219 0.019078 0.037988 0.096816 0.396101 13.623298
2025-02-02 0.006578 0.010798 0.019334 0.041985 0.126681 0.811949 NaN
2025-02-09 0.005911 0.009929 0.018384 0.042347 0.144751 1.402586 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005380 0.009222 0.017597 0.042813 0.165650 2.681036 NaN
2025-02-23 0.004926 0.008589 0.016821 0.042957 0.186916 5.691922 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004428 0.007790 0.015467 0.040552 0.188641 9.088260 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004061 0.007220 0.014569 0.039426 0.199422 20.175877 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003810 0.006866 0.014151 0.039939 0.227133 124.374581 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003528 0.006450 0.013607 0.040262 0.263554 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003198 0.005893 0.012586 0.038214 0.271297 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.002950 0.005486 0.011897 0.037304 0.294514 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002831 0.005361 0.011971 0.040007 0.396810 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002766 0.005349 0.012377 0.044818 0.616953 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002698 0.005321 0.012728 0.049863 1.002672 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002554 0.005083 0.012355 0.050323 1.254698 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002426 0.004871 0.012026 0.050914 1.606744 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002305 0.004663 0.011667 0.051097 2.028171 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002152 0.004358 0.010922 0.048050 1.969344 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002033 0.004133 0.010425 0.046628 2.159172 NaN NaN